Thank you Claudia for this very useful article…
I live in Florida, a swing State, and evidently a swing County, Flagler. The News Journal, our local paper, recently reported an Associated Press pre-election analysis that points fingers at 106 communities in nine states. Bullseye, voters living in Flagler County got real influence.
Remember the Chad uproar of the 2000 Bush/Gore election, the nation held hostage for a month, while volunteers inspected ballot tickets.
|George W. Bush||Al Gore|
|Running mate||Dick Cheney||Joe Lieberman|
|States carried||30||20 + DC|
Bush won 271 electoral votes, Gore 266, because of the twenty-five(2000 census) votes in question. Gore lost the election by 4 electoral votes. The chads spiced up the questionable recount vote. Gore would have won 291 to Bush 246, so we know the significance of Florida swinging.
Thirty states went to Bush; Gore, twenty; plus, the District of Columbia. However, Gore won the popular vote by five tenths of one percent, 50,999,897 to Bush, 50,456,002.
Does this make sense? Not to me either.
I went online to refresh my knowledge of the Electoral College, and by the way, there is no campus.
Each state is allocated a number of electoral votes equal to the number of members it has in the U.S. Congress.
The most recent Huffington Post a “snapshot of where the presidential race stands based on hundreds of state-wide and national opinion polls, filtered through a poll tracking model and updated throughout the day.” On October 29th the polls indicated the electoral vote distribution below:
Barack Obama 277
(217 Strong Obama + 60 Leans Obama)
Mitt Romney 206
(15 Leans Romney + 191Strong)
The graph shows five tossup states; Colorado 9 , New Hampshire 4, Virginia 13, North Carolina 15 and Florida 29, a total of seventy electoral votes. Polls have confidence Obama will win New Hampshire, Colorado and Virginia, and that Romney will win North Carolina. In Florida the polls are split 48% to 48% with a 10% greater confidence Romney will win.
It takes an amendment to the U.S. Constitution to change the electoral college and popularity does not count.
- National and swing state polls suggest it’s possible Republican Mitt Romney could win this year’s popular vote while Obama triumphs in the Electoral College (familysurvivalprotocol.com)
- Obama, Clinton backed reforms to Electoral College after Bush v. Gore (thehill.com)
- Looking Back at a Split Popular and Electoral Vote (politicalwire.com)
- Looming Prospect? Obama Wins Electoral Vote Romney Wins Popular Vote (themoderatevoice.com)
- Obama, Romney, and the Electoral College: The Beltway’s One-Sided Hand-Wringing, Just Like 2000 (crooksandliars.com)